Thursday, November 3, 2011

Barclays: US nat gas drops 3 cents to $3.75 MMBtu

Last Updated : November 03, 2011 11:18

LONDON (Commodity Online): The Natural Gas market sold off on the day as the weather outlook shifted to the warmer side. The prompt contract lost three cents, to $3.75/MMBtu, while Calendar 2012 finished at $4.00 flat, down by four cents.

Calendar 2013 took a harder hit and dropped five cents, to $4.56. Incidentally, the January 2013 contract closed at the lowest price level in that contract's history, further emphasizing the strong bearish sentiment in the market.

The weather outlook in the 6-10 day period shows a colder-than-normal West balanced by a warmer-than-normal East.

But with the key consuming regions centered around the Northeast, an incremental fall in expected HDDs in that region indicates that overall heating demand for the period can soften.

The market consensus for Thursday's EIA weekly storage report is an injection of 69 Bcf, similar to the actual number for the same time last year.

Cash prices were mostly lower on the day. Henry Hub cash slipped 10 cents, to $3.39. SoCalBorder moved four cents lower, to $3.56, as the persistent coldness in the West moderated on the day, while New York (Transco-Z6) dropped 6 cents, to $3.60.


View the original article here

Turmeric likely to decline on higher arrivals

Last Updated : November 03, 2011 10:11

MUMBAI (Commodity Online): Turmeric rates fell in the Spot and the futures markets as lower demand amidst moderate arrivals kept pressurizing the market sentiments. Prospects of demand rising in coming weeks could limit the downtrend however.

Traders expect the trend to remain volatile in the short term as improved production prospects and higher stocks could keep the prices under check to some extent.

Rains in growing areas in Andhra Pradesh and other nearby states have been pressurizing prices in apprehension of better crop prospects. Improved arrivals in AP have kept further pressure on the prices.

Good Monsoon reports in AP has reportedly keeping the sowing activities proper. The area sown would however depend on market rates and if falling trend continues, traders expect the sowing area may fall as farmers may shift to other lucrative crops like cotton, soybean etc.

The total production this year is expected to touch 75-85 lakh bags (1 bag-75kg) - higher than the 65-70 lakh bags in 2010-11. Higher acre-age from the high rates is stated the reason for the rise in expected production as per traders.

Good stocks and increased selling pressure along with weak demand in the mandis have kept trend weak for the commodity over the last few weeks. The sowing period is from June-August and harvesting begins in January.

Exports that had remained low are however expected to rise in coming weeks from Europe, US, West Asia and Japan.

Latest reports from Spice Board of India indicates the expected Turmeric exports for the period April-August 2011 have risen by 52% to 36,500 MT in 2011 from 24,000 MT in 2010 same period.

Courtesy: Religare Commodities


View the original article here

Guar seed to edge higher on low production estimates

Last Updated : November 03, 2011 10:20

MUMBAI (Commodity Online):Rates shot up for Guar yet again on rising demand, low production and stock prospects. Increased arrivals limited uptrend to some extent.

New crop arrivals start fro Haryana. Rajasthan arrivals yet to pick up.

As per First Advanced Estimates of Kharif Crop in Rajasthan, the sowing area is 29.07 lakh hectares compared to 30 lakh ha last year. Production expected at 11.37 lakh tonnes vs 15.46 lakh tonnes in 2010-11(Directorate of Agriculture, Rajasthan).

Traders estimate that in Haryana too the sowing area has fallen to 2.15 lakh ha vs 2.56 lakh ha last year. Production expected at 2 lakh tonnes while in Gujarat, production estimates at 0.65 lakh tonnes.

Better rains in Rajasthan and Gujarat are however expected to improve productivity of the crops this year.

As per APEDA, India has exported 1.45 lakh MT Guar Gum during April-June 2011 vs 0.71 lakh MT during same period last year. Traders expect overall exports to pick up in coming months and cross the 3 lakh tonne mark.

Financial problems in US and EU are worrisome howev-er on export front. It needs to be noted that rates have come down significantly over last 1 month due to lower export demand

Fresh arrivals of the new crop could pressurize the market sentiments to some extent in the short term. However, if exports pick up again, we could see some recovery from these lower levels.

Lower carryover stock and delayed harvesting along with reports of a fall in production and a likely pickup in exports could support the prices. A strong Dollar vs Re could have a beneficial impact on the export front.

Firm Crude Oil prices could have positive impact on the Guar gum export front.

Courtesy: Religare Commodities


View the original article here

Volatile trend to witness in India chana

Last Updated : November 03, 2011 10:17

MUMBAI (Commodity Online):Absence of fresh Fundamental factors kept trend sideways for Chana.

Profit booking at higher levels prevented major uptrend for this commodity as overall trend remained slight firm in the Spot markets. Raising MSP of Rabi crop supported market sentiments.

MSP of Gram was raised by 33% to Rs 2800/Q from Rs 2100/Q. This is likely to support Chana rates in medium term.

Traders feel that rates have moved up significantly over last few months —and even though Festive demand continues, some selling pressure cannot be ruled out before demand picks up again at the lower levels.

1st Advance Govt estimates of a fall in Pulses production to 6.43 million tonnes vs last estimates of 7.12 million tonnes could support the short to medium term rates for Chana.

The other major producers for Pulses namely Myanmar, Australia and Canada are likely to report a fall in Pulses production due to adverse weather conditions in those countries. The Indian imports are likely to get costlier in coming months which could support the Chana rates.

Shifting to other more lucrative crops like Cotton and soyabean have resulted in lower acreage for chana.

Courtesy: Religare Commodities


View the original article here

Wednesday, November 2, 2011

DBS Profit Rise Tops Expectations

SINGAPORE—DBS Group Holdings Ltd. posted a better-than-expected 6% rise in third-quarter net profit Wednesday as trade finance continued to drive the bank's loan growth.


DBS Chief Executive Piyush Gupta said that while global macroeconomic headwinds are strengthening, the bank, Southeast Asia's largest by assets, remains well-equipped to handle a slowdown in regional growth.


"We think Asia will slow and will be at least a couple of percentage points off [its average growth], but Asia will not have a precipitated bloodbath," Mr. Gupta said at a briefing. "Therefore we think that in a slow Asia with growth rates of 6% to ...


SINGAPORE—DBS Group Holdings Ltd. posted a better-than-expected 6% rise in third-quarter net profit Wednesday as trade finance continued to drive the bank's loan growth.


DBS Chief Executive Piyush Gupta said that while global macroeconomic headwinds are strengthening, the bank, Southeast Asia's largest by assets, remains well-equipped to handle a slowdown in regional growth.


"We think Asia will slow and will be at least a couple of percentage points off [its average growth], but Asia will not have a precipitated bloodbath," Mr. Gupta said at a briefing. "Therefore we think that in a slow Asia with growth rates of 6% to ...


View the original article here

Asia Markets Skid on Greece

SINGAPORE—Most Asian stock markets dropped Wednesday, as Greece's plan to hold a referendum on its newly crafted bailout package rattled investors, sending the Tokyo market to a three-week low and denting oil prices.


"Global market sentiment has performed a 180-degree turn in recent days," said Tim Waterer, senior foreign exchange dealer with CMC Markets in Sydney. "News of a proposed Greek referendum on whether or not to accept the bailout package has completely come from left field and has traders flabbergasted."


Several markets managed to recoup morning losses as traders awaited the outcome of the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate-setting meeting later in the global day. News that embattled Greek Premier George Papandreou's plan for a referendum on the country's latest bailout package had been unanimously passed by the Greek Cabinet earlier in the global day also helped prop markets. The referendum is likely to take place before Christmas, slightly earlier than previously expected.


Still, investors were keeping their distance from riskier assets amid the fresh euro-zone jitters.


"Markets are seriously pondering a disorderly default in Greece...Risk assets remain a sell on rallies against the background of prolonged European uncertainty," said Crédit Agricole strategist Mitul Kotecha.


Japan's Nikkei Stock Average was down 1.8% after earlier hitting a three-week low, while Australia's S&P/ASX 200, after briefly falling as much as 2% to a one-week low, was down 0.8%. South Korea's Kospi Composite and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index were both down 0.9%, China's Shanghai Composite Index was off 1% and India's Sensex was flat.


Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up 20 points in electronic trading.


Growth-sensitive stocks were down across the region, with heavy selling taking a toll on oil, resources and financial shares, as investors worried that the European debt crisis could tip the global economy into a double-dip recession. Most stocks were, however, up from their morning lows.


In Sydney, Rio Tinto was down 0.9% and Westpac Bank was off 0.8% while in Tokyo, Toyota Motor was 3.1% lower, Sumitomo Metal Mining 3.3% lower and Inpex 0.8% lower. In Shanghai, Jiangxi Copper was down 3.1% and Citic Securities was off 1.6%, and in Hong Kong, PetroChina was 1.7% lower, Bank of China 2.2% lower and Citic Resources 3.7% lower.


Earnings reports also continued to buffet trading in the region. Australia's OneSteel tumbled 14% after saying its first-half profit could be down 70% due to weak iron-ore prices and a strong Australian dollar.


The euro remained hostage to headlines out of Europe, but the Greek cabinet's approval of the referendum plan appeared to help the currency as well as the Australian dollar recoup earlier losses. Still, traders cautioned of risks to the downside.


"That everything would bounce on the Greek cabinet decision shows us just how much this is a lose-lose situation. Any near-term stability, especially with worrisome ramifications, shouldn't be a sign to buy," said Michael Turner, a strategist at RBC Capital Markets.


The single currency was fetching $1.3716 after earlier sliding to $1.3658, from $1.3700 late Tuesday in New York, and ¥107.17, from ¥107.40. The dollar was at ¥78.12, compared with ¥78.38.


Gold, a traditional safe haven, also briefly lost ground amid expectations investors may be forced to sell down the yellow metal to meet margin calls elsewhere. Spot gold was recently at $1,723.40 per troy ounce, up $3.50 from its New York settlement Tuesday.


December Nymex crude oil futures were down 76 cents at $91.43 per barrel on Globex.


Write to Shri Navaratnam at shri.navaratnam@dowjones.com


View the original article here

Westpac Profit Up 10%

SYDNEY—Westpac Banking Corp. said Wednesday its full year net profit rose 10% helped in part by a decline in impairment charges, while the company signaled it will continue to be vigilant about costs in what it expects to be a subdued environment for credit growth.


Although the bank moved quickly to pass on a 0.25 percentage point rate cut to mortgage holders after the central bank cut rates on Tuesday, Chief Financial Officer Philip Coffey said ...


SYDNEY—Westpac Banking Corp. said Wednesday its full year net profit rose 10% helped in part by a decline in impairment charges, while the company signaled it will continue to be vigilant about costs in what it expects to be a subdued environment for credit growth.


Although the bank moved quickly to pass on a 0.25 percentage point rate cut to mortgage holders after the central bank cut rates on Tuesday, Chief Financial Officer Philip Coffey said ...